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Europe's Transatlantic Strategy Remains Trapped in the Past

When EU foreign affairs chief Kaja Kallas arrived in Washington this past February, she expected a seat at the table; instead, she found her meeting with Secretary of State Marco Rubio cancelled. It was a stark signal that the old rules of engagement in the American capital no longer apply.

Europe's Transatlantic Strategy Remains Trapped in the Past

European officials continue to cycle through Washington, meeting with MAGA-aligned think tanks and administration figures who offer little beyond empty optics. Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič returned from his own talks with a false sense of momentum, while Ursula von der Leyen’s visit to Turnberry resulted in a lopsided trade deal. By January 2026, the situation had deteriorated to the point where Washington openly threatened the seizure of Danish territory. The problem is not merely diplomatic friction; it is a structural failure to recognize that power in the U.S. now resides exclusively in proximity to Donald Trump.

While NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has secured access through public flattery, the results remain hollow. His approach has not moderated the White House but has instead forced European concessions on Ukraine, Iran, and force-posture withdrawals. Brussels remains anchored to an "old guard"—the European People's Party and mainstream social democrats—who cling to a post-Cold War worldview. These leaders struggle to accept that the transatlantic architecture they built has collapsed. Rather than continuing to court an administration that treats allies as obstacles, Europe must pivot toward the American opposition: the progressive analysts and officials who recognize that the current political rupture requires a fundamentally new, clear-eyed framework for future cooperation.

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